Input: The MPI can be decomposed by any groups for which the data are representative and broken down by indicator to show the composition of multidimensional poverty, adding to the policy relevance of the analysis. To tackle individual-level and intrahousehold analyses, we build on the work of Alkire, Ul Haq and Alim (2019). The focus is on individual deprivations, and we call the persons with individual-level data in each indicator the eligible household members. For example, children aged 6-16 years might be eligible for deprivations in terms of school attendance, but not those older or younger. For individual-level indicators, we identify who and how many household members are deprived: their gender and their age, and what proportion of eligible household members are deprived. This is a powerful and potentially informative steppingstone for analysis. Consider two households, each of which has five eligible members with data on nutrition. The aggregation rule in this example is that if any household member is undernourished then the household is undernourished. So, both households are deprived in terms of Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input:
The FAO now uses survey data to calculate the CV and coefficient of
skewness. This revision also took into account the average physical stature of each age-sex group derived from
DHS data. The FAO updated the CV estimate for 37 countries, and, for the other countries (where they did not
obtain HCEs), they used the same CV as in the past.

The FAO method has been widely critiqued by the research community (Svedberg, 1999, de Haen et al.

The FAO calculates the CV of food availability directly for only for a limited number of countries and

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Input: recently introduced the first version of their Global Internal Displacement Database (GIDD) that allows users to explore, filter and sort IDMC ’ s data to produce graphs and tables, and export underlying data. 102 Such platforms need to incorporate safeguards to protect the privacy and confidentiality of individuals ’ data. UNHCR and Statistics Norway are currently leading an initiative to improve forced displacement statistics with the participation of national statistical agencies. This process began with the presentation of the “ Report on Statistics on Refugees and IDPs ” at the 46th session of the UN Statistical Commission in March 2015, 103 followed by an international conference in Turkey in October 2015. 104 The conference set in motion a process for national statistical agencies to collaborate to develop a set of recommendations that both countries and international organizations can use to improve data collection, reporting, data disaggregation, and overall quality, including the preparation of International Recommendations for Refugee Statistics (IRRS). Progress on this agenda was discussed at the 47th session of UNSD held in New York in March 2016, where it was recommended that the expert group should also include IDPs in its scope of work (UNSD 2016). 105 The current initiative is focused on refugees, asylum-seekers and IDPs but would ideally be extended to host communities and returnees. Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input: This question is examined in Jordan using a unique dataset that links individual data on own schooling and parents ’ schooling for adults, from a household survey, with the supply of schools in the subdistrict of birth at the time the individual was of age to enroll, from a school census. The identification strategy exploits the variation in the supply of basic and secondary public schools across cohorts and subdistricts of birth in Jordan, controlling for year and subdistrict-of-birth fixed effects and interactions of governorate and year-of-birth fixed effects. The findings show that the local availability of basic public schools does, in fact, increase intergenerational mobility in education. For instance, a one standard deviation increase in the supply of basic public schools per 1, 000 people reduces the father- son and mother-son associations of schooling by 18 – 20 percent and the father-daughter and mother-daughter associations by 33 – 44 percent. However, an increase in the local supply of secondary public schools does not seem to have an effect on the intergenerational mobility in education. Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input: 16 { Tables 4 and 5 here} Among the first six categories that are based on raw census data, three categories (raw scaled, R & R not scaled, and R & R scaled) are constructed through the summation of bilateral raw numbers and disaggregations of some aggregate categories in the original censuses. Since these categories together constitute around 45 percent of migrants in each census round, the original bilateral portion of each cell was compared with the final number assigned to them after the various calculations as a check on accuracy. For each decade, therefore, the overall percentage contribution of the raw bilateral data to the total is calculated (table 6). 23 In each census round, at least 92 percent of all those categories are derived from the raw data. { Table 6 here} Simulating Missing Data Finally, to examine the reliability of the estimated missing census data and test the methodologies, several scenarios are assumed. All bilateral observations for a single year for four countries (Australia, United States, Switzerland, and Chile) in different parts of the world are deleted and the missing cells are filled using one of five methods. 24 The first simulation assumes that all bilateral data for 2000 are missing but that the total number of migrants is available. Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input:
 The survey results indicate that a significant
majority of youth in Northwest Syria, 92% **Which services are requiered by youth to**

**improve their situation?**

indicated that **youth require various services to**

**address their needs and aspirations** . The most
identified services required by youth include
improving **livelihoods and mental wellbeing** .

humanitarian aid. **Literacy** (23%) is also a
significant finding of this study that should be
easily address by humanitarian actors.

During the FDGs youth also mentioned:

**Do the Youth actively participate in Community-**

**Based Structures?**

**Which services are requiered by youth to**

**improve their situation?**

Funding for small projects

**84%**

Vocational Training

Group PSS

Literacy

Individual PSS

MHPSS

Sexual and Reproductive…

Cyber Security

 **Shared Commitment to Youth Empowerment** : Both male and female participants emphasized the critical
role of education, training, and job opportunities in fostering community engagement and societal growth.

**11**

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Input: Deciding on whether to flee or not to flee a conflict (the migration choice) can be an individual or household choice and risk coping strategies may include temporary migration, shuttling between places, migration of only selected members of the households or migration of the whole household. This implies that individuals may stay put throughout the period observed, join or leave the household during the period, or have several episodes of out and immigration. Households may decide to leave and come back several times. In econometric terms, this means that longitudinal data may be left and right censored and have spells within. They are therefore the most complex set of panel data possible and require particular treatment of data and modeling. Survival or duration models can usually accommodate many of these complexities but it is very rare to find similar data sets used in published articles. Collecting such type of data is also not obvious, particularly if conflict is intense and survey areas cannot be reached. This is an issue where empirical economics could provide a real contribution by defining the optimal data format and adapting panel models to this format. Macro models Macroeconomics has attempted to model forced migration using models borrowed from the trade and economic migration literature such as the gravitational model (Echevarria and Gardeazabal, 2016) or used other macro models to test the impact of refugees on trade (White and Tadess, 2010). A more recent body of work is adapting trade models to take into account stochastic shocks in a dynamic framework (Cameron et al., 2007; Artuc et al., 2008). These are rational expectations models that are able to model the unpredictability of shocks, and recent work has tried to adapt these models to the context of violent Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input: Gender Perceptions- Violence (IPV) The standardized total score of ﬁve questions regarding norms for inti- mate partner violence (IPV) from the Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) (The important decisions in the family should be made only by the men of the family. How often would you agree? The wife has the right to express her opinion even when she disagrees with what her husband is saying. How often would you agree? A wife should tolerate being beaten by her husband in order to keep the family together. How often would you agree? A husband has the right to beat his wife. How often would you agree? It is more important to send a son to school than it is to send a daughter. How often would you agree?). Financial Well-being Savings Response to the question “ How much money do you currently have in savings? ” During the collection surveys (midlines) this question instead asked “ How much money did you save in the past week? ” Borrowing Total amount of money the household has borrowed. Economic Decision Making Risk Preference Measured using incentivized responses to the multiple price list deci- sions adapted from Holt-Laury and Sprenger (2002). Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input:
and Fonden threshold information for 1,745. As shown in table 1, using 2000 census data, we

various administrative records that allow us to observe at the municipal level: the number of

**Keywords:** Disaster Risk Financing and Insurance; Financial Institutions; Climate Change and Disaster Risk; Shocks and Vulnerability to Poverty   _∗_ We would like to thank Artemio Couti˜no of SAGARPA who provided administrative CADENA data, as well as information about program rules.

To determine the effect of   insurance payments on yields and area sowed, we use agricultural production data from SAGARPA   detailing the annual hectares sowed, hectares harvested, and total production in metric tons at the   municipality-crop level.

Note. Standard errors are clustered at the state level. Asterisks indicate statistical significance: _∗_ _p_ _<_ 0 _._ 10, _∗∗_
_p_ _<_ 0 _._ 05, _[∗∗∗]_ _p_ _<_ 0 _._ 01. Observations are at the municipality-year-level. Hectares sowed are defined as the total
hectares growing any rainfed agricultural crop as reported in SAGARPA production data.

administrative CADENA data
SAGARPA production data

agricultural production data from SAGARPA

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Input: Surveys, 76 Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS), 77 and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS). 78 The advantage of these surveys is that they cover a wide range of countries and are conducted in a regular or systematic manner (UNSD 2014). There are only a few cases where modules or questions on forced displacement have been integrated into survey instruments (most notably in Somalia, Uganda, West Bank and Gaza, Azerbaijan, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia, Ghana, as well as health surveys in Albania, Ukraine and Moldova). There are several challenges associated with ‘ mainstreaming ’ forced displacement into household surveys: (a) there is huge demand for adding sector-specific or thematic modules to international surveys; (b) it is relatively difficult to convince national statistical agencies to modify their county-specific surveys; (c) disaggregating survey results by specific vulnerable groups (e. g. refugees, IDPs, migrant populations) requires these distinctions to be integrated into the sampling frame and sometimes there is insufficient information to do this or a lack of resources to expand the sample size; (d) lack of access to displacement- affected areas; and (e) difficulties associated with integrating an inherently political topic into less controversial surveys. Usage context: background mention, primary mention, supporting mention.

Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys
Demographic and Health Surveys

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Input:
**Appendix Table A3: LFS Sample Composition by Quarter and Region**

| Region | Q1 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q4 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern | 2,418 | 2,391 | 2,340 | 2,306 |
| Central | 3,102 | 3,088 | 3,074 | 3,051 |
| Southern | 4,211 | 4,187 | 4,190 | 4,168 |
| Coastal | 1,890 | 1,878 | 1,855 | 1,843 |

Attrition across LFS quarters is minimal (less than 2 percent per quarter). The LFS uses an imputed replacement procedure for household members absent during a wave; imputed observations are weighted at 0.5 in the regression analysis.

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Input:
emotional well-being, as well as local integration prospects. In this sense, some Afghan women
have reported a strict control exerted by male family members, which translates into their
confinement in the domestic realm.

##### Protection Risk IV

**Trafficking in persons, forced labor or slavery-like practices.** Although asylum seekers, refugees,
and other forcibly displaced persons have the same labor rights as nationals in Brazil, they
encounter several obstacles to their economic integration. The experience of displacement,
coupled with high levels of unemployment, informal labor, and poverty, heighten the risk of this
population to fall prey of human traffickers. According to official data, between 2021 and 2023,
355 refugees and migrants of all nationalities were rescued from forced labor or slavery-like
practices in Brazil from various economic sectors, primarily in timber trade, cassava cultivation,
clothing manufacturing, road transportation, and tobacco. [33 ]

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Input:
The effort was inspired by the U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) and involved USDM experts and experienced officials from Mexico, which had recently implemented a similar drought monitor process.

The World Bank performed a disaster risk financing diagnostic to gain a more nuanced understanding of the economic impacts of the drought throughout the Eswatini economy.

World Development 157, 105932
Anseeuw, W., Bache, W., Bru, T., Giger, M., Lay, J., Messerli, P., Nolte, K., 2012. Transnational land deals for agriculture in the
global South: Analytical report based on the land matrix database.

by SGC** 2015 1,935 1,530 28,345 0 0.54 2016 2,817 1,916 42,754 0 0.87 2017 3,388 2,139 43,358 0 0.84 2018 5,108 3,519 65,859 0.06 0.85 2019 8,710 5,327 83,269 0.51 0.69 2020 2,431 847 13,408 0 0.50 2021 7,805 5,232 58,442 0.09 0.38 Pre-Prozorro 7,094 4,774 54,425 0 0.41 Prozorro 711 458 4,017 1 0 2022 2,041 1,043 9,964 1 0 Total 34,235 21,553 345,399 0.22 0.61 _Source:_ Own computation from SGC and Prozorro data as described in the text.

0.322 0.255 0.469 0.202 0.174 0.319 0.203 Contract length (years) 8.61 8.33 9.51 8.84 9.04 7.98 7.08 _**Land use**_ Crops 0.48 0.48 0.47 0.65 0.66 0.61 0.69 Pasture 0.35 0.34 0.36 0.29 0.27 0.37 0.38 Forest 0.15 0.15 0.13 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.06 _**Distance in km to**_ Main road 8.65 8.48 9.22 9.31 9.30 9.32 9.38 Nearest city 15.64 15.66 15.58 16.58 16.59 16.57 17.16 Grain elevator 13.39 13.55 12.84 13.56 13.50 13.84 14.43 Kyiv 297.22 295.17 304.04 312.33 309.85 323.26 334.55 _Source:_ Own computation from SGC and Prozorro data as described in the text.

U.S. Drought Monitor
land matrix database

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Input: We use the sum of conflict events occurring in the historic homeland of ethnic group e in the previous year t − 1, denoted as Conflictet − 1, and we use the mean distance between the historic homeland of ethnic group e and the border of country d to predict the number of refugees of a certain ethnic group e moving from country o to d at time t. 22 In order to be consistent with EPR-ER data construction, we restrict our analysis to all origin – destination country pairs that are at a maximum distance ≤ 950 km from each other. Predicted numbers of refugees are then transformed into predicted shares for the three largest groups to follow the logic used by the EPR-ER dataset. We then plug in these predicted shares in the following way: X \PredictedRefcet = Refocdt ∗ \Shareodet. (6) The predicted shares of refugees per camp c are then used to compute (as documented above) refugee diversity indices to be used as instrumental variables. The first-stage equations corresponding to the 2SLS-equivalent of Equation 1 can be expressed as 20We conduct a robustness check on Equation 5, replacing the dyadic origin – destination fixed effects with separate origin and destination fixed effects (Section 5. 4). 21More information on LEDA can be found in Appendix A. 1. 22The construction of the IV follows a long tradition in using the gravity model to predict bilateral migration flows (Ravenstein, 1985, 1989; Crozet, 2004; Mayda, 2010; Garcia et al., 2015; Beine et al., 2016). In our analysis, a major difference is that we have an additional dimension: the ethnic group e. 20 Usage context: primary mention, background mention, supporting mention.

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Input: 11 however, since they cannot distinguish between a country where the population is concentrated in one cluster covering 10 % of the territory and one where the population is concentrated in two clusters of 5 % each, but with a considerable geographical distance between them. Population and conflict geography in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) corresponds to these arguments regarding population concentration and dispersion. Concentrations of language-based minorities are evident throughout eastern DRC. Due to the limited access of the government, the close proximity to international borders, and the dense population concentrations, these concentrated minorities have a higher potential of conflict than other, more accessible, sparsely populated areas of DRC. Figure 1 shows the population concentrations in 1990 (CIESIN data) for Central Africa. Heavily populated areas are shaded in deeper tones of red / grey. Civil conflict in DRC has overwhelmingly occurred in the eastern portion of the state, which is the most densely populated area and also geographically peripheral to the capital, Kinshasa. Of the eleven Congolese rebel groups accounted for in the dataset used in this paper, all have operated either exclusively or partially in the eastern and southern areas of DRC. Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input: 15 4. 1. 2. Empirical strategy In order to make use of the retrospective information on school attendance provided in the dataset, we have constructed what we have called an ‘ ad hoc panel ’, whereby we exploit the time-variation of the variables of interests (age, attendance status and grade attained by the respondents) by reshaping the cross-sectional structure of the TLSS 2001 dataset. In this way, we are able to obtain observations for each individual over three academic years. All key education variables are time- variant, while other individuals and households characteristics are time-invariant. Within these three years, we focus our analysis on individuals that were of primary school age (between 7 and 12 years old) in each year. In practice, we keep all children aged at minimum 7 years old in 1998 and at maximum 12 years old in 2000. As a consequence, our panel data contains children aged 8-11 years in 1999, the year of the violence. 11 Since we are interested in looking at different effects across groups of individuals, we have split the sample between boys and girls and between younger children (aged 8-9 in 1999) and older children (aged 10-11 in 1999). Usage context: primary mention, supporting mention, background mention.

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Input: Using the NLSS data we begin by estimating a regression of the form: yk s = δs + α (ak s − a) + βs (Ek s − Es) + χs (Hk s − Hs) + vk s (4) where yk s is the log of income (or consumption) of household k residing in district s, coeﬃcients δs, βs and χs vary by district, ak s stands for the age and age squared of the household head, Ek s is the education level of the head measured in years of completed education, and Hk s = 1 if the head belongs to what we have earlier classiﬁed as a high caste (i. e., Brahmin, Chhetri or Newar). Since income or consumption are expressed in logs, βs and χs can be thought of as education and high caste premia, respectively. Female headed households are excluded from the regression since the focus is on migrant males. Vector a denotes the average age and age squared of observations across the sample. Variables E and Hs denote the district-speciﬁc averages of Ek s and Hk s. By demeaning regressors, we ensure that eδs measures the unconditional, district- speciﬁc average of yk s. Marital status, household size, and other household characteristics are 15

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Input: as farm tools and water pumps, sewing and building equipment, and commercial cars. Outliers are treated, and values are adjusted for inflation. 0 20 40 60 80 100 Camp Hosts Camp Refugees Current Camp Refugees COB Other (rental income, PSNP, pension) Remittances (local/international) Donations (NGO/gov) Crops/livestock Salary (employment/casual labor) 0 20 40 60 80 100 Camps-Male-Headed Camps-Female-Headed Salary (employment/casual labor) Crops/livestock Donations(NGO/gov) Remittances (local/international) Other (rental income, PSNP, pension) Percent Percent Figure 3.20: Household primary income source Source: World Bank Staff based on SESRE 2023. Note: “COB” refers to livelihood strategies in their country of birth. a. Pre-post migration b. By gender of head Jobs and Livelihoods 34 arrive in Uganda with few assets, in a state of high poverty, and with similarly low employment rates. However, unlike Ethiopia, employment rates for refugees in Uganda improve over time, approximately doubling after five years or more (World Bank, 2023b). Uganda is also notable for providing work rights to refugees in practice (Ginn et al., 2022) (Box 3.3). 3.2 Labor market outcomes of OCP refugees and their hosts Refugee households in Addis Ababa rely heavily on remittances as their primary source of income. This reflects the fact that the Eritrean OCP refugees

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Input: (2009) have shown that, in Nepal, subjective welfare is negatively associated with geographical isolation. Census data on total population and population density in each district are used as proxies for urbanization and geographical proximity: the denser the population, the less geographically isolated individuals are likely to be. We also include data on the average elevation in each district. Nepal being a mountainous country, the higher the average elevation of a district, the more costly it is to build roads, raising transport and delivery costs to the district. Ceteris paribus, we expect migrants to seek out districts with a higher population density and a lower elevation. 4 Econometric results 4. 1 Univariate analysis We now investigate the choice of migration destination. We begin with simple univariate analysis. Variables are of the form ∆ h is = xh s − xh i where i is the district of origin of migrant h and s is each of 74 possible districts of destination. We examine the average value of ∆ h is for the destination district and compare it to the value of ∆ h is for alternative destinations. For instance, let xh s be population density in district s. The average value of ∆ h is for the actual destination of the migrant tells us whether the destination district is more densely populated than the district of origin.

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Input:
monthly temperature and rainfall data for the period 1961-2000 (CRU), provided for

We compute R [2] 's between CRU and each of the eight GCMs for temperature and rainfall

We require separate benchmarks for the CRU and each of the GCMs. We establish

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Input: 7 other disciplines it is relatively rare. A review of published public health literature by Chen et al. (2018) found most surveys use probabilistic designs in the first stage, but random walk or similar methods in the second stage. Lupu and Michelitch (2018) suggest that the combination of random walk and quota sampling is the common approach for political science-themed surveys conducted in the developing world, with 77 percent of respondents to their expert survey using a variation on this design. Diaz de Rada and Martínez (2014) compare a combination of random walk and quota sampling (based on age and gender) to probability designs and find a more accurate estimation of age and educational attainment in the combined method than in the probability methods, but that the probability methods perform better for measuring unemployment. The authors cite the replacement protocols for the probability methods as a reason for the bias and attribute the use of quota sampling for the success in estimating age and education, compared to the gold standard of a high-quality probability sample design. There are also a limited number of papers which directly compare two or three of the methods, but none that consider this wide range of alternatives.

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Input: in primary compared to their hosts, refugees struggle to attend secondary education. Secondary GER22 and NER23 for refugees are almost half those of hosts. For example, only 23 percent of secondary school-aged refugee children and youth attend secondary school. This share is higher (41 percent) for hosts. Refugee Secondary NER also is very high compared to the national 5 percent in 2021/22 (MoE, 2022). By country 0 20 40 60 80 100 Eritrean Somali South Sudanese Addis refugees South Sudanese Addis refugees 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Eritrean Somali Incomplete primary Complete primary Complete secondary Complete post-secondary Percent Percent Figure 2.9: Refugees’ education outside of Ethiopia (18 years and above) Source: World Bank Staff based on SESRE 2023. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Hosts Refugees Hosts Refugees Hosts Refugees In camp Addis Ababa Total Hosts Refugees Hosts Refugees Hosts Refugees In camp Addis Ababa Total Attending school Primary school Secondary school 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Primary school (7 to 14 years) Secondary school (15 to 18 years) Percent Percent Figure 2.10: Children currently attending school Source: World Bank Staff based on SESRE

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Input: Primary well-being outcomes: This category includes three main outcomes that seek to cap- ture refugee household well-being, including household consumption, mental health (mea- sured through the Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale, CES-D), and an index summarizing the 25-item child Strengths and Difﬁculties Questionnaire (SDQ) that measures emotional and conduct problems, inattention, peer relations, and prosocial behav- iors. Both the CES-D and SDQ are validated tools that have been utilized in a variety of international contexts (Park and Yu 2021, Woerner et al. 2004). In each of the three survey rounds, the primary respondent completed the CES-D depression screening. The SDQ was completed by an adult respondent regarding a randomly selected child aged 3 to 8 years old in the endline survey, as well as for the same child in the one and a half year follow-up. Total household consumption was measured only at endline (which was collected in person). 12 Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input: The long-term consequences of these trends are signiϐicant, as diminished educational outcomes and social isolation can hinder successful integration into host communities. Conversely, sustained social and educational integration efforts are vital for positive outcomes. For instance, studies indicate that long-term integration can be hampered by social, economic, and institutional barriers (Chiswick and Miller, 2014), while interventions focused on language support and community engagement can lower these barriers (Ozden and Wagner, 2020). Further, speciϐic interventions aimed at removing obstacles to education for children on the move can contribute signiϐicantly to better integration outcomes (Schuettler and Caron, 2020). This paper beneϐits from key information coming from administrative data on educational records of Ukrainian refugees in Italy for the academic years 2021-2022 to 2023-2024 for grades 6 to 13. This provides a unique opportunity to examine enrollment, attendance, test performance, and other indicators of integration into the Italian educational system. Supplemented by survey data collected in 2023-2024, this study offers an overview of the challenges and opportunities faced by Ukrainian students in secondary schools and highlights areas for potential policy development. This study advances the literature by adding empirical evidence on the short- to medium-term educational impacts of displacement on young refugees within a European host country, offering insights into the role of education policy in mitigating human capital losses. It also contributes to discussions on human development by identifying factors that support or hinder integration, highlighting pathways for improving educational and social outcomes for refugee students. Results highlight that despite gradual improvements, enrollment rates remain signiϐicantly lower among refugees compared to native and other foreign students. Ukrainian refugees also demonstrate higher absenteeism and lower academic performance, particularly in subjects requiring language proϐiciency such as Italian and English. However, good performance in mathematics suggests potential strengths linked to their prior educational backgrounds. Despite these challenges, teachers seem to be more inclined to recommend Ukrainian refugees for high-track education compared to other newly arrived foreigners, indicating potential optimism about their academic capabilities. The

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Input: Religious School Enrollment in Pakistan A Look at the Data Tahir Andrabi1 Pomona College Jishnu Das The World Bank Asim Ijaz Khwaja Harvard University Tristan Zajonc Harvard University Abstract Bold assertions have been made in policy reports and popular articles on the high and increasing enrollment in Pakistani religious schools, commonly known as madrassas. Given the importance placed on the subject by policy makers in Pakistan and those internationally, it is troubling that none of the reports and articles reviewed based their analysis on publicly available data or established statistical methodologies. This paper uses published data sources and a census of schooling choice to show that existing estimates are inflated by an order of magnitude. Madrassas account for less than 1 percent of all enrollment in the country and there is no evidence of a dramatic increase in recent years. The educational landscape in Pakistan has changed substantially in the last decade, but this is due to an explosion of private schools, an important fact that has been left out of the debate on Pakistani education. Moreover, when we look at school choice, we find that no one explanation fits the data. Usage context: supporting mention, primary mention, background mention.

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Input: First, the cross-country literature has not found that negative, contemporaneous shocks to growth systematically lead to violence. 8 Second, we have run a large number of robustness checks by adding time trends or lagged growth to our speciﬁcation and controlling for rainfall shocks directly. 9 The upshot from this is not only that results remain signiﬁcant but also that the estimated coeﬃcients barely change. This does not mean that a causal link from falling growth to conﬂict can be ruled out. But it is unlikely to drive the macro relationship we see in the data. In order to further explore the relationship between violence and country-level out- put we run two speciﬁcations of the model described above. In the ﬁrst model conﬂict in country i at time t is deﬁned by any violence, i. e. if at least one battle related deaths occurs. In the second speciﬁcation, conﬂict is deﬁned by a higher threshold, by 0. 008 deaths per 1000 population. 10 We expect to get diﬀerent results from the two speciﬁcations. From the analysis of Figure 1 we know that economic damage of civil war increases with the severity of conﬂict. The estimated impact from the second model should therefore be more acute. Table 1, panel A and B, reports the results. Each column contains one of our measures for economic growth.

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Input: We offer less restrictive assumptions and formal tests for these assumptions where data are available, provide more insights into the selection of control variables for model building, and offer simpler variance formulae. Our framework can be generally applied to imputation either from one survey 27 We also experimented with imputation from the HEIS into the DHS. However, one major issue is the latter survey ’ s most recent two rounds are in 2009 and 2012, which do not overlap with the HEIS, thus making it difficult to benchmark the DHS. We tried benchmarking both rounds of the DHS using the HEIS in 2010, and found a qualitatively similar decreasing trend in poverty across these two survey rounds. 28 It is also more demanding to make the distributions of the explanatory variables comparable for smaller population groups (e. g., as disaggregated by regional characteristics or other distributional characteristics such as quintiles) in surveys of different designs. We leave this extension for further research. 33 Usage context: primary mention, supporting mention, background mention.

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Input: Historical trends and patterns of forced displacement: Insights from available global data This section provides an overview of the available global data on conflict-induced forced displacement, drawing largely on UNHCR ’ s published data on asylum-seekers, refugees and IDPs. 41 Data are presented visually in a series of figures to highlight the scope and character of the current global forced displacement crisis and identify historical trends and anomalies. These data largely focus on the scale and trends in conflict-induced displacement (i. e. the numbers of forced displaced) with some coverage of other elements such as demographics, location and accommodation. Globally, there has been an unprecedented increase in the numbers of displaced people over the last decade, largely explained by the expansion in the number of reported IDPs. Historical data show a substantial increase in the numbers of forced displaced (see Figure 3), however the expanding geographical scope and quality of displacement monitoring systems are likely to account for much of the increase in forced displacement figures. The numbers of refugees under UNHCR ’ s mandate have recorded a number of variations over time, peaking in the early 1990s (at a level 10 percent over 2015 numbers) with the conflict and displacement associated with the end of the Cold War. The number of Palestinian refugees steadily has increased steadily over time, largely as a result of natural growth. IDP numbers (for which the underlying data are the least robust) have recorded the largest progression as a consequence of: (a) the expanded scope of monitoring efforts (IDPs were not counted before 1989 and methodologies were 41 UNHCR ’ s data only include IDPs protected or assisted by the agency. Usage context: supporting mention, primary mention, background mention.

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Input: Figure 3. Wealth Index Distribution (a) Wealth Index- Total 0. 05. 1. 15. 2. 25 k-Density- 5 0 5 10 15 Wealth Index Colombian Venezuelan Venezuelan: Before migrating (b) Adequate Housing Materials (% of Total) 0 1 2 3 4 k-Density 0. 2. 4. 6. 8 1 Average- Dwelling Material Colombian Venezuelan Venezuelan: Before migrating (c) Asset Ownership (# Total) 0. 05. 1. 15 k-Density 0 10 20 30 40 Total Assets Colombian Venezuelan Venezuelan: Before migrating (d) Access to Services (% of Total) 0 1 2 3 k-Density 0. 2. 4. 6. 8 1 Average- Access to Services Colombian Venezuelan Venezuelan: Before migrating Notes: Panel (a) presents the distribution of the wealth index for Colombian and Venezuelan households in our sample in 2022 and pre-migration. Wealth Index is an index measure of the household ’ s cumula- tive living standard constructed following The Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) methodology.

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Input: 9 this oversubscribed list. Selection into the training group was based on a “ vulnerability score ” that gave priority to younger, female and unemployed individuals. Despite this approach, intake was “ fuzzy ”- participants were ordered by their vulnerability score, with the most vulnerable entering up until capacity. In some intakes, individuals with comparatively high scores were not taken into the program. In others, individuals with comparatively low scores were included. We construct our treatment and control groups from these intake decisions. Data were collected from members of the host and refugee communities in each country. 4 In both Jordan and Lebanon, the intervention was implemented on a rolling basis. As soon as one training cycle was completed, another would begin. Data were collected in three waves during each training cycle. First, during an “ outreach ” phase, where data were collected in order to assign treatment status. Second, at “ baseline ”, which occurred before the training had begun but after treatment assignment was known. Third, data were collected at “ endline ”, immediately following the end of the training. Data collection for those assigned to the treatment and control followed the same pattern. 5 Outreach and baseline data collection took place less than a week apart and were collected between July 2018 and September 2019. Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input: Produced by the Research Support Team Abstract The Policy Research Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. The papers carry the names of the authors and should be cited accordingly. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / World Bank and its affiliated organizations, or those of the Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent. Policy Research Working Paper 7253 This paper is a product of the Poverty Global Practice Group. It is part of a larger effort by the World Bank to provide open access to its research and make a contribution to development policy discussions around the world. Policy Research Working Papers are also posted on the Web at http: / / econ. worldbank. org. The authors may be contacted at jlendorfer @ worldbank. org and jhoogeveen @ worldbank. org. This paper analyzes the impact of the 2012 crisis in Mali on internally displaced people, refugees and returnees. It uses information from a face-to-face household survey as well as follow-up interviews with its respondents via mobile phones. Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input: Page 12 of 51 Figure 6: Temporary employment by age group. (Mid-1990s / Mid-2010s) Source: Own calculations based on Household surveys. In the case of temporary employment, there is evidence of increasing female participation in the five countries analyzed, with large variations in several cases. Indeed, in the five countries for which we identified temporary workers, while temporary employment was predominantly male in the 1990s, today women show a participation higher than 50 % in all cases. Figure 7: Temporary employment by age group. (Mid-1990s / Mid-2010s) employment by gender (Mid-1990s / Mid-2010s) Source: Own calculations based on Household surveys 0 % 10 % 20 % 30 % 40 % 50 % 60 % 70 % 80 % 90 % 100 % 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s Argentina Brazil Chile Mexico El Salvador > 64 years old 50 ‐ 64 40 ‐ 49 25 ‐ 39 15 ‐ 24 0 % 10 % 20 % 30 % 40 % 50 % 60 % 70 % 80 % 90 % 100 % 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s Argentina Uruguay Brazil Chile Peru Bolivia Dominican Republic Mexico El Salvador Female Male

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Input: 11 survey, we construct the asset index based on the same categories of assets captured in every survey wave, ensuring full comparability over time. Most of these assets are recorded as dichotomous variables, taking 0 / 1 values, while the few categorical variables with multiple categories are manually reorganized along an ordinal scale according to costs. The asset variables are first normalized and then transformed into a single wealth index through principal component analysis, following an approach proposed by Kolenikov and Angeles (2009). Scree plots indicate that the first principal component is highly significant in every wave, while further components carry little information, as desired. The wealth-index is likely to indicate the long-term economic well-being, as many durables captured are typically held by households for many years and are not frequently replaced (Sahn and Stifel 2000). In between the first and second survey waves an administrative reform took place in which the definition of urban areas was revised (Megill 2004), among other things. Some communities previously considered rural were now coded as towns, which, to some extent, explains the sharp increase in the proportion of urban population. Usage context: primary mention, background mention, supporting mention.

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Input: 14 3. Refugees as Agents of Their Own Destiny 3. 1 The Composition of Africa ’ s Refugee Population and Its Consequences One of the first elements that catch the eye in Figure 6 is the difference in the composition of the refugee population in Africa compared to the rest of the world. The share of children and women among refugees is higher in Africa than elsewhere, in particular East and West Africa stand out here. This is, at least partly, a consequence of Africa ’ s younger, general population, but other forces could be at work as well, e. g. higher mortality of adult males in Africa or adult males staying behind or being separated from the rest of the household. It does mean however that, relative to other areas, more attention should be going to the needs and capacities of women and children in Africa. This means, for example, adaption of and increased supply of schooling and health services. Figure 6. The composition of refugees by age and gender, 2013 Source: Note: UNHCR statistics (UNHCR 2014). Asia excludes Australia, Japan and New Zealand. Americas exclude Canada and the United States. These percentages have been calculated by country when demographic data are available for at least 30 % of the total. Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input: Refugees In camp Addis Ababa Total Attending school Primary school Secondary school 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Primary school (7 to 14 years) Secondary school (15 to 18 years) Percent Percent Figure 2.10: Children currently attending school Source: World Bank Staff based on SESRE 2023. a. Attended education b. Education level a. All children b. School-age children 20 The Primary Gross Enrollment Rate (GER) is the ratio of the number of children enrolled in primary school irrespective of age to the number of children of primary school age (age 7 to 14). 21 The Primary Net Enrollment Rate (NER) is the ratio of the number of children of primary school age enrolled in primary school to the number of children of primary school age (age 7 to 14). 22 The secondary Gross Enrollment Rate (GER) is the ratio of the number of children enrolled in secondary school irrespective of age to the number of children of secondary school age (age 15 to 18). 23 Secondary Net Enrollment Rate (NER) is the ratio of the number of children of secondary school age enrolled in secondary school to the number of children of secondary school age

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Input:
PAGE 25 --> similar income aggregates can be obtained between POF and PNADC (Paffhausen et al., 2021), which could be exploited in further work in this direction.

Myanmar Ministry of Planning and Finance & World Bank Group. (2017). Technical Poverty Estimation
Report: Myanmar Poverty and Living Conditions Survey. World Bank, Yangon.

Oliveira, L. S., De Souza, D. F., Dos Santos, L. A., Antunes, M., Brendolin, N. C., & Quintaes, V. C. (2016). "Construction of a Consumption Aggregate Based on Information from POF 2008-2009 and Its Use in the Measurement of Welfare, Poverty, Inequality and Vulnerability of Families." _Review of Income and_ _Wealth_, 62, 179-S210.

Rodrigues, C.T., & Helfand, S., & Lima, J.E. (2018). Novas linhas de pobreza para o Brasil: Uma análise a partir das Pesquisas De Orçamentos Familiares (POF) 2002-2003 e 2008-2009.

Myanmar Poverty and Living Conditions Survey

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Input: Excluding respondents who have relocated would omit those with the higher rates of income growth and poverty reduction. Table 5 reports confidence intervals for the incremental samples (which are not mutually exclusive); it gives a more detailed picture of how inference on consumption growth and poverty reduction would have changed if we had not tracked movers. It is apparent that inference from a ‘ simple ’ panel survey of respondents continuing to reside within the original communities would have produced underestimates of actual consumption growth and poverty reduction in this population. These conclusions are robust across the distribution of consumption, as well as at the mean and poverty line. Panel A in Figure 2 depicts the cumulative density function for consumption per capita for those people who remained living in the same community. Panels B, C and D make the same graph for respondents found residing in neighboring communities, elswehere in Kagera Region and outside Kagera Region. As respondents were located further from their location in 1991, so the difference between the 1991 and 2004 graphs becomes more pronounced. Note how, for people who remained in the baseline community, the 1991 and 2004 distributions lie close to each other under the poverty line and diverge above it, while for other mobility categories there is more divergence at the bottom of the graph. Usage context: primary mention, supporting mention, background mention.

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Input: No data on religiosity was collected as part of the census and a more recent and detailed household survey that includes information on time-use elicits little variation — everyone reports high mosque attendance and regular prayers. An alternative, suggested by David Evans at Harvard University, which we pursue here, is to use recent developments in the use of “ names. ” Research by Fryer and Leavitt (2004) demonstrates the increasing use of names to define race identity in the United States. We postulate that households who named (at least) one child “ Osama ” (also spelt Usamah, Usamma or Usama) are more likely to favor a radical brand of Islam. The use of the name Osama was minimal until 1998, and then peaks in 1998 and 2001, following disruptive events. Of course, the naming of the child may reflect name recognition rather Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input:
widespread among Shona households, and access to external support was minimal. Although employment levels

began to recover a year later, they remained below pre-pandemic levels, underscoring the prolonged adverse

impact of the pandemic on this already vulnerable community. [[9]]

_Figure 1: Labor force status after the COVID-19 outbreak (18-64 years)_

_Source: Kenya COVID-19 Rapid Response Phone Surveys (RRPS)_ _[[9]]_

**Two rounds of household surveys taking place over five years before and after the transition of the Shona in**

**Kenya from statelessness to citizenship help us to understand this community – and present one of the first**

**socioeconomic pictures of the impact of citizenship on the welfare of stateless persons.** Between 2019 and 2024,

the median age of Shona household members remained unchanged at 18 years, underscoring a predominantly

youth demographic profile. Gender distribution is even, showing only a marginal change, with the female population

increasing slightly from 49 percent to 50 percent. Average household size has risen modestly from 4.9 to 5.4

members, which may reflect greater household consolidation or socio-economic stability following their

naturalization. The most notable shift is the significant reduction in the proportion of female-headed households,

Kenya COVID-19 Rapid Response Phone Surveys

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Input: Ideally, we would conduct a comparative analysis of the characteristics of migrants residing in Medellin versus those in other parts of the coun- try to discern the extent of these differences. However, the lack of comprehensive data regarding the living conditions of this population makes such analysis unfeasible. To explore how this population compares with other migrant groups in the country, we turn to the only two available data sources on migrants. First, we use the Venezuelan Refugees Panel Survey (VenRePS), conducted by Ib ´ a ˜ nez et al. (2022), which captures a 19 Usage context: supporting mention, primary mention, background mention.

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Input: 4 single caregivers, are an extremely vulnerable group and especially so if principal applicant is a woman or girl. Moreover, poverty gaps between male and female principal applicant ’ s for these households remain after humanitarian assistance is received. To understand how gender differentiates the poverty experienced by the Syrian refugees, we use two UNHCR datasets: The Profile Global Registration System (ProGres) and Jordan Home Visits round 3 (JD ‐ HV). The ProGres database for Jordan includes information on refugees ’ registration since 1935. The registration process assigns refugees a unique registration number that serves as a reference for recording data at the initial registration and in all subsequent activities, including decisions on refugee status and right of return or resettlement in a third country, as applicable. UNHCR issues refugees residing in camps a ‘ proof of registration ’ document, which they hold while they remain there. For those who live outside the camp, UNHCR provides an asylum seeker certificate stating that those on the certificate are persons of concern. The asylum seeker certificate allows Syrians to access United Nations (UN) services and assistance provided outside the camps, such as monthly cash support, nonfood goods, and healthcare (NRC and IHRC 2016). Usage context: background mention, supporting mention, primary mention.

Profile Global Registration System
Jordan Home Visits round 3

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Input: The household and family dynamics in Liberia, as in other African settings, can be complex, with families often sending their children to live with relatives who are more able to provide for their schooling and basic needs. Young parents, in particular, often leave home to migrate for work, leaving their children back home with relatives until they are able to establish themselves and send for their children. If the economic success of the EPAG participant allowed her to bring non-resident family members into her household (including but not limited to her own children), then overall household size may have been expected to increase as a result of the program. This does not appear to have happened, at least in the short term. The results in Table 8 show that overall household size was not affected by the program. It is possible that the increase in earnings due to EPAG was too small, or too short-lived, to have induced the kinds of migrations described above. Other measures of household well-being, including food security and asset ownership, reflect shorter- term investments that might be influenced by the economic success of EPAG participants. Panel B of Table 8 shows the impact of EPAG on a broad range of food security measures.

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Input: Significant among these are: (a) the lack of capacity of national statistical agencies in many developing countries to collect robust data on refugees; (b) weak or incomplete monitoring of refugees dispersed within host communities; (c) lack of capacity to maintain up to date information on refugees (reflecting new arrivals, 81 General population registers may also provide opportunities for more elaborate analysis of the integration of refugees in asylum countries, as the data could be linked to other administrative registers, for example on labor and education (UNSD 2014). 82 UNHCR collects, compiles and publishes data on asylum-seekers, refugees and IDPs protected or assisted by UNHCR, including populations in refugee-like or IDP-like situations. 83 Established in 1863, the ICRC ’ s mission is to ensure humanitarian protection and assistance for victims of armed conflict and other situations of violence. Usage context: primary mention, background mention, supporting mention.

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Input: First, most of the studies only consider a subset of occupation or livelihood activities (mainly employee-based) and do not provide a full picture of the livelihood impacts of refugee presence on host communities. We consider an exhaustive set of livelihood activities in which households (individuals) in the impacted communities may engage. 7 Second, prior studies tend to focus on the different livelihood activities separately (i. e., whether the individual adult members or the household engage in each of the livelihood activities). 8 Therefore, they are unable to infer whether households are diversifying or specializing their livelihoods or are engaging more on the commercialization of activities. 9 The current paper goes beyond the allocation of labor to individual (specific) 7 As the data we used does not have a good welfare indicator (e. g., income, consumption, and assets), we could not explore the welfare impact of refugee inflow. 8 We examined households ’ engagement in individual livelihood activities as a mechanism for household livelihood strategies. 9 Generally, households tend to diversify their livelihood when facing negative shocks (e. g., conflicts, droughts) to minimize risk (Ellis 2000a, b). In the case of refugee inflow, households may either diversify or specialize as refugee inflow could be both a negative shock (through increase competition for resources, services, and employment) and a positive shock (through creating opportunities, such as high demand agricultural products, provision of cheap labor). Usage context: background mention, primary mention, supporting mention.

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Input: 5 implemented in six areas: Bamako, the regional capitals of Gao, Timbuktu, and Kidal as well as one refugee camp in Mauritania and one in Niger. Bamako was selected because it is home to a large number of IDPs. The refugee camps were selected to obtain a sample of refugees. Returnees were identified in the regional capitals of Timbuktu, Gao and Kidal where the phone network was (still) functional. The approach to selecting respondents differed by location and depended on the availability of pre-existing population information.  Bamako: Listing information of all households with IDPs was obtained from the International Organization for Migration (IOM). Based on this data 10 districts were selected and in each district 10 households were randomly identified.  Gao, Timbuktu and Kidal: No listing data was available and the cities were divided into different sectors. The enumerator was assigned a starting point in a sector, a direction (North, South, East, West) and based on the code of the day 9 the enumerator selected the first household. If the code of the day was 4, the enumerator would choose the 5th house to conduct the first interview. No more than 6 houses were to be interviewed from one starting point.

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Input: area probability sample. Specifically, we first stratify the sample according to the main sub-national unit of government (state, province, region, etc.) and by urban or rural location. Area stratifi- cation reduces the likelihood that distinctive ethnic or language groups are left out of the sample. Afrobarometer occasionally purposely oversamples certain populations that are politically significant within a country to ensure that the size of the sub-sample is large enough to be analyzed. ” Afrobarometer provides geocoded data for 6 rounds, which correspond to the 1991 – 2016 period, with the information on an individual ’ s ethnicity available from round 3 (corresponding to 2005 – 2006). We therefore restrict our analysis to the 2005 – 2016 period. The selection of countries is driven by data availability. Among the 33 countries with available Afrobarometer data, we exclude Botswana, Cape Verde, Lesotho, Madagascar, Mauritius, Sao Tome and Principe, South Africa, and Swaziland, for which no data is available on refugee camps or from the EPR-ER. We also exclude Sudan since the question on individual ethnicity is not asked in this country ’ s survey. Usage context: primary mention, background mention, supporting mention.

A dataset, survey, database, index, census, registry, or information system with a specific proper name that can be cited, queried, or downloaded as a data source

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Input: (b) Disaggregation and geo-mapping of data by location (current location and location of habitual residence; urban, peri-urban or rural location), accommodation (organized camp versus non- camp), and demographics (age and sex); (c) Expanded coverage of data collection exercises to include all areas of affected countries (security permitting); (d) Improved coverage and detailed data on displaced populations living outside of organized camps; (e) Improved coverage of ‘ flows ’, i. e. new displacement, durable solutions (returns, integration, resettlement), births, deaths, and in the case of IDPs, the numbers that flee across international borders becoming refugees; (f) Systematic data collection beginning from the earliest moment following displacement, following up as populations disperse, and continuing until sustainable / durable solutions have been achieved; and (g) Better aggregation, analysis and presentation of forced displacement data currently compiled separately by UNHCR, IOM, IDMC and UNRWA. Additional efforts are required to address the gaps in the data required for development policy and planning. These data are critical for informing the design of development policies and assistance programs. Usage context: primary mention, supporting mention, background mention.

A dataset, survey, database, index, census, registry, or information system with a specific proper name that can be cited, queried, or downloaded as a data source

A data source described by its characteristics or producer rather than a proper name, containing a data noun and at least one identifying descriptor

A general reference to data, information, or statistics that contains a data noun but lacks enough specificity to identify the exact source


Input: cents. The universe of blocks (“ manzanas ”) was stratified by socioeconomic strata and a representative sample of blocks was selected at random without replacement. To en- sure a sample representative of Colombian children by age group, stratum, and sex, we followed a multi-stage random sampling process. 8 As mentioned earlier, one of the biggest constraints in characterizing the role of forced migration in children ’ s human development within developing countries is the difficulty of finding a representative sample of those migrants. This is specially true in contexts where migrants are not hosted in refugee camps, but are integrated in local communi- ties, which account for 80 % of refugees worldwide (Climate Center 2022). We address these difficulties, leveraging all available information on Venezuelan settlements across the country to construct the largest possible comprehensive listing. The listing included data on Venezuelan settlements from all available sources, such as the 2018 population census, migrant organizations, and settlements identified by iMMAP, a non-profit orga- nization. iMMAP uses multiple sources, including OIM, United Nations, local migrant organizations, and satellite images, to identify Venezuelan settlements geographically. 9 Hence, to create our sampling frame, our field team verified the geographic location of all the Venezuelan settlements in-person and implemented a snowball sampling procedure in all the settlements found.

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Input:
This multiresolution decomposition is performed using Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transformation (MODWT) on first difference of the annual series from Penn World Tables 7.0.

Next, we consider actual data. We use annual series of income, consumption, and investment data from Penn World Tables 7.0, all in 2005 international dollars per capita terms. The income series are provided by the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) converted GDP per capita (chain series) data, whereas consumption and investment series are computed by using the share of actual consumption and investment in the PPP converted GDP series at 2005 prices.

Figure 9: Wavelet cross-correlation between the monthly Industrial production index
changes of USA (a) TUR, (b) BRA, (c) IND, and (d) PAK.

of industrial production series between Turkey and United States at 2 month frequency

The selection of the countries roughly reflects a cross-section of the geographic spread, as well as per capita income levels as defined by the World Bank classification using 2011 Gross National Incomes.

inconsistency between longitudinal and cross-section data, a paradox that would eventually lead

Penn World Tables 7.0
Industrial production index

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Input:
The rapid humanitarian assessments of newly conflict-induced displaced populations often detect
children amongst those injured by the armed clashes. Aside from material hardships, the psychological
impact of the conflict and subsequent flight is deemed to be severe. Recruitment and use of children
by armed forces and armed groups remains a significant risk in light of the fragmentation of NSAG and
varying degrees of interest in compliance with IHL. Active conflict led to 11,418 civilian casualties [5 ] in
2016 - approximately 11% were women and 31% were children. In 2016, the Country Taskforce on
Monitoring and Reporting (CTFMR) verified 57 incidents of recruitment and use of children in the
conflict (89 boys) who were recruited and mainly used for planting IEDs, transporting explosives,
carrying out suicide attacks and spying. Forced recruitment is primary reason given by Afghan asylum
seekers in Sweden and Norway. Poverty, coercion and lack of livelihood opportunities, including
during the more prolonged phases of displacement, is also a factor that contributes to the recruitment
of children, particularly adolescents. Access to education in displacement is generally hindered by
several factors: Poverty and destitution, with a loss of assets and means of livelihood, often forces
displaced families to engage children in support of family resilience and interim livelihood strategies.
Lack of civil documentation, cultural and social norms, threats and intimidation, social status and
poverty are significant obstacles. In 2016, 423 schools were intermittently closed due to conflict and

A dataset, survey, database, index, census, registry, or information system with a specific proper name that can be cited, queried, or downloaded as a data source

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Input: Average share of primary school age children in primary education Average share of secondary school age children in secondary education Percent Figure D.3: Share of school-age children in education per household Source: World Bank Staff based on SESRE 2023. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Eritrean Somali South Sudanese Addis refugees Availability of education document Able to verify education document Percent Figure D.2: Refugees’ education document Source: World Bank Staff based on SESRE 2023. Annexes 101 0 20 40 60 80 100 Hosts Refugees Hosts Refugees Hosts Refugees In camp Addis Ababa Total Primary school (7 to 14 years) Boys Primary school (7 to 14 years) Girls Secondary school (15 to 18 years) Boys Secondary school (15 to 18 years) Girls Percent Figure D.4: School-age children currently attending school by gender Source: World Bank Staff based on SESRE 2023. Hosts Refugees Hosts Refugees Hosts Refugees Hosts Refugees Hosts Refugees Hosts Refugees Eritrean Somali South Sudanese In Camp Addis Ababa Total Average household expenditure on education (children in school) Average household expenditure on education per child (school age (4 to 18 years)) - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18.000 Figure D.6: Average annual household education expenditure

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Input: 26 education Turkish to a subregion. In sum, there is some evidence that the inflow of Syrian refugees results in a decrease in the number of Turkish living in a subregion. The evidence, however, is weak and the impact unlikely to be very large. 5. PLACEBO TESTS AND ROBUSTNESS CHECKS 5. 1 Placebo Tests The key threat to the validity of our instrument is that there are subregion specific economic trends that are correlated with the instrument, and not fully controlled for by the inclusion of the log distance of a Turkish subregion from the Syrian border. A priori this seems unlikely since the instrument is also based on travel distances, but we can test for the existence of such trends in a pre-period. Specifically, we run regressions that are analogous to those reported in Tables 5, 6 and 7 using data from the LFS 2009 and 2011. As a placebo test we pretend that the Syrian refugees had arrived between 2009 and 2011, rather than between 2011 and 2014, to see if the instrument is correlated with Turkish outcomes in this pre-period. Table 10a presents the results of our placebo tests. For the overall sample there is no statistically significant trend that is correlated with subsequent (instrumented) refugee flows in formal or informal employment, or in log wages.

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Input: The relation- ships between displacement dynamics and perceptions of each manifestation of social cohesion are analyzed separately by running 12 models for each independent variable (6 regressions for each sample). The regressions are correlations and should not be interpreted causally. Hosting status and displacement ﬂows are likely related to perceptions of social cohesion in indirect ways and the structure of the survey data limit the ability to specify the channels through which these relation- ships run. Each regression controls for characteristics that may inﬂuence respondents ’ perceptions of social cohesion outside of the presence of IDPs or refugees in the local community such as province, gender, age, marital status, level of education, employment, and exposure to violence. 11Poll numbers correspond to the number wave in our larger project, as described and shown in Table 2. 28 Usage context: primary mention, supporting mention, background mention.

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Input: Maps provided by the humanitarian coordination body delineated displacement hotspots, areas of refugee concentration, and border crossing points used in the preparation of the targeting methodology. These maps were produced using UNHCR's population of concern data combined with host government administrative records. The maps were last updated in October and reflect registration data through September 30. Any changes in population distribution identified through subsequent biannual registration updates will trigger a review of the targeting lists by the PIU and the relevant district authorities.

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Input: These calculations conﬁrm our earlier assessment. 5 Conclusion Combining data from a household survey and an 11 % census of the population, we have estimated destination choice regressions for Nepalese internal migrants. Results show that population density, social proximity, and access to amenities exert a strong inﬂuence on migrants ’ choice of destination. These results conﬁrm earlier work on the factors aﬀecting the subjective welfare cost of isolation (Fafchamps and Shilpi, 2008). 29 Usage context: background mention, primary mention, supporting mention.

household survey
11 % census of the population

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Input:
- This report includes all referrals data for the period January to December 2016

- Data was collected from 11 sites; 6 Urban (Amman, Zarqa, Mafraq, Irbid, Ramtha,
and south Mobile Medical Unit), 4 camps (Zaatri, Azraq, Cyber City and King
Abdullah Park), and Ruwaishid.

- Data was captured on-site daily then compiled and shared on a monthly basis with
JHAS referral hub, where the initial data compilation and cleaning was done.
Compiled and cleaned data was then shared with the UNHCR Public Health Unit,
where secondary data cleaning and analysis was carried out.

- Descriptive analysis carried out using Microsoft Excel 2013.

**3 |** P a g e

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Input: In certain contexts, there can be significant overlaps in these two groups; however data systems may be maintained separately for conflict-induced displacement and natural disasters (e. g. in Afghanistan) leading to possible gaps or double counting if these categories are combined. 30 The IOM Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) is a system to track and monitor displacement and population mobility. It is designed to regularly and systematically capture, process and disseminate information to provide a better understanding of the movements and evolving needs of displaced populations, whether on site or en route. It has been active in over 40 countries since its inception in 2004. See http: / / www. globaldtm. info /. 31 This is typically defined as nomads not having access to their traditional routes, but routes can vary. 32 IDMC has recently adjusted their methodology to facilitate greater comparability across situations and improvements are reflected in IDMC ’ s end-2015 data. 33 This is not necessarily a problem if the purpose of the registration system is to delineate entitlements to assistance rather than to determine status. Usage context: background mention, supporting mention, primary mention.

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Input: Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and geospatial analysis can be used to map, monitor and analyze data on forced displacement. Triangulation of this information with socio-economic and other indicators can provide a rich source of data and enable insights into underlying patterns and trends over time. (e) Use of big data (mobile phone data, news scraping, social media). IDMC is pursuing big data approaches to capturing displacement data in real time in order to report on displacement situations as they are happening and to provide updates on how they are evolving (IDMC 2015). These data are not necessarily representative but can be used in conjunction with other methods to triangulate trends. For example, the Swedish NGO, Flowminder, has pioneered the use of de-identified data from mobile operators to track population displacement caused by natural disasters such as earthquakes in Haiti in 2010 and Nepal in 2015, and these techniques may also have applications in conflict-induced displacement crises. 100 (f) High-resolution satellite imagery and unmanned drones. High resolutions satellite imagery can be used to map physical structures in refugee and IDP camps including changes to the number and type of these over time, support the remote detection of displaced populations in hard to reach or insecure settings; and conduct rapid assessments during or immediately after a mass displacement (Harvard Humanitarian Initiative 2014). Usage context: background mention, supporting mention, primary mention.

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A data source described by its characteristics or producer rather than a proper name, containing a data noun and at least one identifying descriptor

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Input:
**Annex 11: GIS-Supported Targeting Methodology**

Beneficiary targeting in rural subcomponents relied on GIS to overlay poverty incidence maps, displacement flow data, and existing service facility locations. Spatial clustering algorithms were applied to identify communities with the highest unmet need scores within each target district. The GIS analysis was conducted by the Ministry of Planning's geospatial unit using ArcGIS Pro and the outputs validated against field-verification data collected by community mobilizers. GIS-derived targeting lists are subject to a 10% random audit by the Bank's task team during each implementation support mission.

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A data source described by its characteristics or producer rather than a proper name, containing a data noun and at least one identifying descriptor

A general reference to data, information, or statistics that contains a data noun but lacks enough specificity to identify the exact source